Thursday, January 9, 2020

Halstead Open House Index - report from weekend of January 5, 2020



Good morning Halstead Open House Index subscribers and supporters,

Happy New Year to all of you! Here is the first report of 2020. What do you think, how did it go? Did we get a January bump? You better believe it! No, you do not need to believe it – with your data and my report you will KNOW it!

We received 201 surveys for this past weekend and the average attendance for all of NYC jumped to 4.48 per open house. Compare this to last year, on January 6, 2019, when we recorded attendance of 4.21 per open house. Last weekend in 2019 the average was 3.23 (but from only 44 surveys submitted) and the weekend prior it was 2.07. The average for all weekends in December 2019 was 2.53 – so this past weekend represents a 77% increase in traffic! Are the bonus people out - looking for real estate?

18 open houses reported zero traffic, which is just 8.9%. Not bad. If you anticipate a very slow open house in the future, I recommend two books to read, to help you grow your business. “Crucial Conversations” – excellent book on hard stake negotiations. “365 Thank Yous: The Year a Simple Act of Daily gratitude Changed My Life”– book recommend also by Ninja Selling to inspire you how, what and to whom to write thank you notes each day.

The most visited open house was reported by Phyllis Gallaway from Sotheby’s. She greeted 41 parties at her first open house for a 2BR co-op at 1725 York Avenue on the Upper East Side. Here, in her own words: “Apt is triple mint, priced to sell and has very low maintenance- also a financially sound building. I had an assistant at the showing, a bit difficult with the crowd, but doable. Yes to offers. Beautiful home!!!”

There were 4306 open houses last weekend in NYC and, in my estimate, 5106 prospective buyers were hopping from one to another. Here is the dataset. Let’s check the action in each borough:

Manhattan – the average jumped to 3.97 per open house. Without that one record open house, the average would have stood at 3.72. Last year, on January 6, 2019, the Manhattan average was 3.80. In all weekends of December 2019, the average was 2.33. Two busy open houses in East Village with 13.50 average (small sample). Central and West Village was busy with 5.00. Upper East Side (4.74) and Upper West Side (4.34) above the average, although, if we remove that one record open house, UES would be below the average with just 3.78. Midtown West (2.33) and Chelsea (2.33) started the year slow. See the rest below.

Brooklyn – the average jumped to 6.47 from 34 open houses received. Last year we recorded 5.95 in Brooklyn from 42 open houses submitted for January 6, 2019 weekend. The average for all weekends in December in Brooklyn was 3.13, so this is a 206% jump in traffic, compared to the December average! Cobble Hill/Carroll Gardens (10.25) and Fort Greene/Clinton Hill (10.00) led the averages. Crown Heights (8.00) and Williamsburg (7.67) not bad either, but beware of small sample sizes. Bed Stuy was below the average with 4.50. See the rest below. 

Bronx – not bad with 5.00 per open house. Busy in Riverdale with 6.14 from 7 open houses.

Queens – also busy with 6.00 per open house from just 5 open houses received from Queens.

Staten Island – still in winter hibernation.

Size – townhouses (5.89) were awesome, and JR4s (5.33) and 2BRs (5.27) were not far behind. The least interest was in studios with 2.84, the only size category not to break 3.00 or higher.

Price – All price categories scored 4.00 or more, but 2BRs scored 5.09, granted – thanks to that one open house at 1725 York Avenue.

Type – condos attracted 3.90 per open house and co-ops 4.86.

Condition – “Excellent/mint” with 5.10 was the winner this weekend, “wrecks” were the worst with 3.14.

First Open House – 9.05 per each first open house vs. 4.01 for the stale ones. Price them well so you receive offers after your first open house!

By Appointment Only – 90% more traffic at “normal” open houses vs. those advertised “by appointment only”.

This is all for today. Let me know if you like what you read here or if you prefer a different type of analysis. It is a collaborative forum here, let’s share best open house practices or any other real estate brokerage practices! My open house database grew to 24,252 records and subscription list to 2134 “subscribers”, primarily agents such as you, with the occasional reporter and condo developer lurking in here too! For this coming weekend I will include a new neighborhood in Manhattan: “Battery Park/Financial District”.

Best of luck at your open houses this coming weekend!

PS: Do not forget to check my reports on my blog at https://halsteadopenhouseindex.blogspot.com/. You can easily view the reports from previous weeks and leave comments. Also, check the link to dataset.

Fritz Frigan
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